Warning: file_get_contents(http://is.gd/api.php?longurl=http://ns2.thespread.com/forum?task=topic&id=85982&p=306472) [function.file-get-contents]: failed to open stream: HTTP request failed! HTTP/1.1 502 Bad Gateway in /home/thesprea/public_html/components/com_agora/include/agora.common.php on line 60
College Betting Recap - Week 5
College Betting Recap - Week 5
College Betting Recap - Week 5
Weekly Betting Notes
Home Teams went 28-20 straight up in Week 5
Favorites went 36-12 SU in Week 5
West Virginia (+19 ½) was the biggest underdog to win outright in Week 5, defeating No. 11 Oklahoma State 30-21 at home.
Other notable underdog winners were East Carolina (+12 ½), Tulane (+12 ½), Texas State (+10 ½) and Idaho (+7 ½).
Favorites and Underdogs went 23-23-4 against the spread
The four pushes were:
Missouri (-22) 41 vs. Arkansas State 19
Georgia (-3) 44 vs. LSU 41
Ohio State (-7) 31 vs. Wisconsin 24
Oregon (-39) 55 vs. California 16
Top 25 Betting Notes
There were four matchups in Week 5 that featured ranked teams squaring off. In those games, the higher ranked school won except the for the Georgia-LSU encounter. The No. 9 Bulldogs were favored by three points at home and defeated the No. 6 Tigers 44-41.
The 12 other ranked schools in action went 11-1 SU and 6-4-1 ATS.
No. 11 Oklahoma State was the only ranked school to lose to an unranked team in Week 5.
Louisville, UCLA, Northwestern, Baylor and Texas Tech were the five ranked schools on Bye in Week 5.
Houston improved to 4-0 ATS with its 59-28 win over Texas-San Antonio in Week 5
After losing to Ohio State in Week 5, Wisconsin is 3-2 SU but 4-0-1 ATS
Central Florida suffered its first loss of the season in Week 5, falling to South Carolina 28-25 at home. Despite the loss, the Knights covered as 6 ½ - point underdogs. UCF is 4-0 ATS
Central Michigan fell to 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in Week 5 after getting trounced at North Carolina State, 48-14
Fresno State is the only unbeaten team (4-0) in the nation that has failed to cover the spread (0-4 ATS)
Notre Dame fell to 3-2 SU and 0-4-1 ATS in Week 5
LSU and Troy have seen the ‘over’ cash in all five of their games
Florida State, Arizona State, Georgia and Northern Illinois are other notable schools that have seen the ‘over’ go 4-0 this season
Under like Thunder
West Virginia, Toledo and Louisiana Tech have seen the ‘under’ go 5-0 in their first five games
Lane Kiffin fired at USC
Our college football expert Brian Edwards offered up this thoughts on head coach Lane Kiffin’s dismissal at USC and the possible replacements for the Trojans.
I thought Lane Kiffin was a desperation hire to begin with at USC. He had a solid second season and his recruiting was always good, especially considering the NCAA sanctions. But the guy simply doesn't have the type of personality that energizes a fan base. He clearly lost the locker room last season when the Trojans went from preseason No. 1 to losing six games and finishing unranked. They got destroyed by a seven-loss Georgia Tech team at the Sun Bowl.
When USC lost at home to Washington State as a 16 ½ -point favorite in Week 2 this season, it was obvious that Kiffin was in big trouble. With an open date looming, AD Pat Haden had the opportunity to pull the trigger on Kiffin's tenure if USC lost at Arizona State. When the Trojans lost by double digits and gave up more than 60 points, Haden's decision was probably an easy one.
Will Kiffin ever get another head-coaching job? It's a fair question. He's had three great jobs already that he didn't deserve. I don't see him getting a big-time offer anytime soon, and he sure as hell doesn't strike me as the type who would get his hands dirty and take a C-USA or Sun Belt gig. I see his future similar to that of Mike Shula's since he got fired at Alabama. He'll be a position coach in the NFL for a few years and maybe get an offensive-coordinator gig in 3-4 years like Shula, who is the new Panthers' OC.
Where does USC go from here? You'll probably here big names like Boise State's Chris Petersen and Texas A&M's Kevin Sumlin, but I don't think the Trojans have a shot with either guy. Petersen has given everybody the Heisman treatment and Sumlin's next move will probably be for an NFL job.
Jack Del Rio makes some sense. He's an alum who turned down the job when Kiffin was hired, but Del Rio doesn't have an NFL head-coaching gig now like he did last time. He's the defensive coordinator with the Broncos. But that could be an issue, too, because Denver is going to be playing into January, but we've seen that scenario before (Bill O'Brien with Patriots/Penn State).
Jeff Fisher, another USC alum, isn't leaving the Rams unless their season heads way south. Steve Sarkisian has history with the program, serving as Pete Carroll's OC, but his situation at Washington is looking pretty good right now. Haden has plenty of time to consider his options, another plus to handing out this pink slip so early.
Re: College Betting Recap - Week 5
College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 5
By Andrew Lange
I'll admit I was a little turned off by Virginia Tech defensive coordinator Bud Foster's verbal distaste for having to play Georgia Tech on short rest. I knew Tech's defense was good but the Yellow Jackets are notorious for taking advantage of ill-prepared teams. Foster however may have been sandbagging because the Hokies went down to Atlanta and completely shut down GT's running game (129 yards). And what makes Foster's defense impressive is how they've progressively gotten better against Tech's offense: 2010 - 426 total yards, 2011 - 340 total yards, 2012 - 288 total yards, and last week - 273 yards. Saturday's win marked the Hokies' fourth straight victory over the Yellow Jackets. And I'll throw a little praise Logan Thomas' way. The senior QB came up with arguably his best performance in two seasons: 19-of-25, 221 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, 58 yards rushing, 1 TD.
If you follow me and the Sportsmemo blog's game previews you know that I've been having a field day betting against SMU. The Mustangs put up a little better effort against TCU (10-7 lead at halftime) but once again broke down when times got tough. The Horned Frogs put up 31 in the fourth quarter including a kick return TD and pick six with three minutes to go. SMU probably deserved the pointspread cover but when you commit five turnovers on the road and can't run the football (16 yards) it's hard to consider it that bad of a beat.
A great example of how massive things can change one week to the next in college football: Pitt beat Duke 58-55 two weeks ago and followed it up with a 14-3 win over Virginia.
What is going on with North Carolina? The Week 1 loss to South Carolina wasn't shocking. Despite looking sluggish against Middle Tennessee they got the job done with a win and spread cover. And in the first half against Georgia Tech it looked like this team was on its way to a nice road win after jumping out to a 20-7 lead. But in the second half, the wheel came off and UNC folded. Then on Saturday in what was essentially a must win game, the Tar Heels didn’t just fold, they failed to show up. East Carolina is a solid team and an in-state rival I seriously doubt UNC didn't prep for. But the Pirates jumped out to a 28-10 halftime lead and didn't look back. The most telling segment of the game was UNC's three-and-out to open the second half followed by another ECU touchdown. The Tar Heels rattled off three straight scores but so did ECU and the end result was a legitimate 55-31 win for the Pirates. At 1-3 with a road trip to Blacksburg and a home tilt vs. Miami on deck, North Carolina could very easily be 1-5 come late October. It sounds cliché but this team, particularly the defense, is super soft.
Here's something to ponder: Clemson beat Wake Forest 56-7; Wake beat Army 25-11; and Army beat Louisiana Tech 35-16.
After allowing 628 yards and 42 points to Texas A&M, Alabama surrendered just six points and 97 yards on the ground to Colorado State and Ole Miss. Just goes to show how awesome A&M's offense is compared to the rest of the country. Expect more of the same from Bama's defense the next four weeks with home games against Georgia State, Arkansas, and Tennessee and a road trip to Kentucky.
Crazy back-and-forth affair in Albuquerque on Saturday. The game was tied 14-14, 21-21, 28-28, 35-35, and 42-42. UNLV broke it open in the fourth with a go-head touchdown and shortly after iced the game on a 75-yard TD run. Of note, the Rebels snapped their well-documented 29-game road losing streak. And at 3-2 (gulp!) the Rebels are in the hunt for a postseason berth with winnable games against Hawaii, San Jose, Air Force, and San Diego State. Perfect year to skip Boise State, Wyoming, and Colorado State – three of the top six teams in the Mountain West.
Speaking of the Mountain West, Wyoming caught a tough break when its game at Texas State was delayed for three and a half hours. It was tied 7-7 in the second quarter before lighting caused the stoppage in play. When played resume, the Bobcats reeled off four straight touchdowns en route to the 42-21 win. Don't think I can downgrade the Pokes after that one and the upcoming bye week should allow them to regroup for league play.
Blowouts were the theme of Saturday's PAC-12 slate with the five favorites winning by margins of 27, 18, 38, 39, and 21. USC's 62-41 loss to Arizona State obviously cost Lane Kiffin his job. As bleak as things look for the Trojans the upcoming slate presents some opportunities. For starters, they get a bye week before facing Arizona – a team I don't think is very good. Then after a trip to Notre Dame, USC plays host to Utah, and travels to Oregon State and California. Where this team is at emotionally/motivationally is obviously going to go a long ways in determining whether they finish 7-5 or 5-7.
There was no shame in Wisconsin losing at Ohio State – the Buckeyes made plays when it counted...that is what good teams do at home. But I will say that Wisconsin – like a lot of teams who have yet to embrace the up-tempo mantra – looked completely lost when asked to run their "2 minute" offense. I wasn't asking UW to go the length of the field with 1:40 left and no timeouts but there was zero sense of urgency in between plays. The same could be said for the ending of the Arizona State debacle. I like teams like Alabama, Stanford, and Wisconsin which play a more pro-style offense, but late in tight ballgames, teams that churn out 90 plays per game and are conditioned to play at a quick pace, have a distinct advantage. They may not always score, but when the clock is running and you don't have any timeouts, you have to give yourself a chance and you can do so by getting everyone set and not needing to send in a play. That isn't Wisky's style and in this instance, they had no shot at the game-tying touchdown.
In 2009, under the watch of defensive coordinator Tim DeRuyter, Air Force finished 11th nationally in total defense (288.3 ypg allowed). When DeRuyter left for Texas A&M, the Falcons dropped to 37th. In 2011, more regression as they fell to 65th. 2012's group finished 73rd and the Falcons had their first losing season since 2006. This year it has somehow gotten worse. Through five games, Air Force has allowed 526.2 ypg, good for 123rd out of 125 teams. In their last two losses to Wyoming and Nevada, they allowed 1,221 total yards. The loss to the Wolf Pack was particularly brutal as AFA was in control for nearly the entire game but couldn't get a single stop. Nevada scored touchdowns on all four of its second half possessions to sneak away with the 45-42 win. But while the defense is unlikely to improve much the rest of the way, I promise you the Falcons are going to cash a few tickets. The early schedule was brutal with Utah State, Boise, Wyoming and Nevada. Upcoming they face Navy, San Diego State, Notre Dame, Army, New Mexico, UNLV and Colorado State. I'll call for at least four wins out of that group and a winning spread record.
Re: College Betting Recap - Week 5
Week 5 Rewind
By Brian Edwards
Georgia improved to 2-0 in SEC play with Saturday’s thrilling 44-41 win over LSU as a three-point home favorite. Aaron Murray torched the Tigers for 298 passing yards and four touchdowns. The senior signal caller also ran for a score.
In crucial home wins over South Carolina and LSU, Murray has posted an 8/1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. His play against John Chavis’s defense was especially critical in the second half when sophomore RB Todd Gurley couldn’t play due to a sprained ankle suffered in the first half.
LSU’s Zach Mettenberger was equally as efficient as Murray in his return to Athens. When both players were freshmen at UGA, they were roommates. After an arrest and suspension, Mettenberger opted to transfer.
Things are working out for both guys just fine. Mettenberger had NFL scouts drooling with his performance between the hedges. He completed 23-of-37 throws for 372 yards and three TDs without an interception. For the season, Mettenberger now has a 13/1 TD-INT ratio.
The ‘over’ improved to 4-0 in UGA games. The Bulldogs hit the road this week to face Tennessee at Neyland Stadium. LSU has another road assignment at Mississippi St. before returning home to take on Florida.
Alabama heard all week about the potential for upstart Ole Miss to pull an upset in Tuscaloosa. The Rebels hung around for most of the night, trailing just 9-0 at intermission as 14.5-point underdogs. (The line had dropped from 16.5 to as low as 13.5 early Friday.)
But the Crimson Tide put together its best defensive performance of the year in a 25-0 win. ‘Bama had 434 yards of total offense and limited Hugh Freeze’s team to only 205 net yards.
Florida improved to 2-0 in SEC action with a 24-7 win at Kentucky as an 11-point ‘chalk.’ The 31 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 46.5-point total. The ‘under’ is 3-1 in UF games to date.
Making his first career start under center, Tyler Murphy impressed Gator Nation again. The junior connected on 15-of-18 passes for 158 yards. Murphy threw for a score and ran for another. Matt Jones rushed for a career-high 176 yards and one TD.
Playing without star DT Dominique Easley for the first time, Florida’s defense looked just as salty. The Gators doubled up UK in the yardage department (402-173). They host Arkansas this weekend at The Swamp.
Missouri has won its first four games because QB James Franklin is healthy this season and sophomore WR Dorial Green-Beckham is living up to the hype after a disappointing freshman campaign.
Franklin completed 20-of-29 throws for 255 yards and three TDs without a pick to lead his squad to a 41-19 win over Arkansas St. as a 21.5-point favorite. The senior is back into the form he demonstrated in 2011 before injuries wrecked in debut season in the SEC.
In 2013, Franklin has completed 67.6 percent of his attempts for 1,128 passing yards with a 9/3 TD-INT ratio. He has also run for 215 yards and a pair of TDs on 41 carries.
Green-Beckham arrived in Columbia as the nation’s No. 1 recruit in the 2012 class. However, he struggled to make plays and was suspended for one game. Green-Beckham finished his freshman year with just 28 receptions for 395 yards and five TDs. In only four games so far this season, he has 21 catches for 334 yards and four TDs.
With all that said, Gary Pinkel knows that the 4-0 start has come against non-conference foes. The Tigers will make or break their year with what they do against SEC competition. But with Franklin finally healthy and Green-Beckham playing well, Missouri is much better prepared for the difficult stretch ahead that starts Saturday night in Nashville.
The wildest game of Week 5 for our purposes undoubtedly went down in Orlando, where South Carolina won a 28-25 decision at Central Florida as a 6.5-point road favorite. The Gamecocks were playing without WR Shaq Roland (suspension) and then lost QB Connor Shaw (shoulder, out 2-3 weeks) in the first quarter.
UCF dominated the first half and led 10-0 at intermission. But Steve Spurrier came out in the second half and gave the Golden Knights a heavy dose of RB Mike Davis, who turned 26 carries into 167 yards and three TDs.
South Carolina scored 28 unanswered points to go ahead by 18 with 10:31 remaining. UCF wouldn’t fold, though, responding with a 73-yard TD pass from Blake Bortles to Rannell Hall. A successful two-point conversion made it 28-18. South Carolina was poised to put the game and spread cover away on a first-and-goal situation from UCF’s two with just under four minutes left. But Davis coughed up a fumble to give the underdog new life. Two plays later, South Carolina junior safety Brison Williams completely lost his sanity and allowed Hall to get behind the defense for a 79-yard gainer on a pass from Bortles.
Bortles hit Hall for a seven-yard scoring strike on the next play to provide the backdoor cover. On the ensuing onside kick attempt, South Carolina WR Bruce Ellington got a nice bounce and only had one man to beat to the end zone. Alas, UCF got the tackle of Ellington at the 10 and Spurrier opted to kneel on it three times.
Ohio State had cruised past four non-con foes going into Saturday night’s Big Ten showdown vs. Wisconsin. Braxton Miller shook off the rust and returned to the lineup to lead the Buckeyes to a 31-24 win as seven-point home favorites. The 55 combined points fell ‘under’ the 55.5-point total, although many bettors probably pushed on the total that was at 54.5 or 55 for most of Thursday and Friday.
Miller had missed most of the last three games, but he threw four touchdown passes without getting picked off. He also ran for 83 yards.
Before anyone pencils in Ohio St. for an unbeaten season, let me remind you that it falls into a classic letdown situation Saturday night at Northwestern. The undefeated Wildcats have had two weeks to prepare for the Bucks and will be sky high for this game.
Oklahoma jumped all over Notre Dame early and held on for a 35-21 victory as a 3.5-point road favorite. The Sooners got sweet revenge in South Bend after losing 30-13 to the Irish in Norman last year. OU’s Blake Bell threw a pair of TD passes without an interception. West Virginia and East Carolina pulled the biggest Week 5 upsets. After getting throttled 37-0 by Maryland, Dana Holgersen belatedly turned to Clint Trickett at QB and the FSU transfer responded in a big way (begging the question, what the hell took so long?).
Trickett threw for 309 yards to lead the Mountaineers to a 30-21 win over Oklahoma St. as 19.5-point home underdogs. Gamblers taking WVU on the money line cashed a tasty ticket in the +800 range.
East Carolina didn’t just go into Chapel Hill and win. No, the Pirates dealt out a pimpslap at North Carolina, winning 55-31 as 12.5-point underdogs. Shane Carden threw for 376 yards and three TDs, while Vintavious Cooper ran for 186 yards on 35 carries. Carden also had three rushing TDs as ECU improved to 3-1.
On Thursday night, Va. Tech won its fourth consecutive games by beating Ga. Tech 17-10 as a seven-point underdog on The Flats in Midtown Atlanta. The Hokies forced three turnovers and didn’t commit any en route to hooking up money-line supporters with a +240 payout (risk $100 to win $240).
Re: College Betting Recap - Week 5
4th Quarter Covers - Week 5
By Joe Nelson
Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the fifth weekend of college football to close out the month of September. Each week, there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows, get the details in this weekly column.
Pittsburgh (-6) 14, Virginia 3: Pittsburgh led 14-0 after the first quarter, but the Panthers needed to hold on late. Down by 11 into the fourth quarter, Virginia marched to the Pittsburgh three-yard line with a touchdown being enough to flip the spread result, but the Cavaliers failed on fourth down and Pittsburgh was able to hold on in a game in which neither team eclipsed 200 total yards.
Ball State (-1½) 31, Toledo 24: In a key MAC West game, Ball State led by seven at home entering what would be a wild fourth quarter. Just seconds into the final frame, the Rockets tied the game with a 10-yard touchdown pass. It took less than three minutes for Ball State to take the lead back and the Cardinals appeared to be in control after Ball State got a stop as the Rockets went for it on fourth down just outside of field goal range. The Rockets got another chance with an interception however and a few plays later the game was tied again with just over six minutes to go. Ball State got help on the next drive with a big pass interference penalty and the Cardinals took a seven-point lead with three minutes to go. Toledo went to mid-field quickly on its final possession, but the Ball State defense held again for a key conference win.
NC State (-24) 48, Central Michigan 14: NC State cruised to a 38-0 lead going into the fourth quarter, but those on the heavy home favorite would get a scare as Central Michigan scored back-to-back touchdowns in the first four minutes of the fourth quarter to match the spread. NC State connected on an 80-yard pass a few minutes later to get by the number and Central Michigan threw interceptions on two of its next three offensive plays to mute the threat.
TCU (-17) 48, SMU 17: SMU led 10-7 at the half and TCU led by just seven entering the fourth quarter. TCU hit a few big plays early in the fourth quarter to pull away, but after SMU scored with three minutes to go, most on the Frogs were holding losing tickets or earning a push at best with the margin at 17 points. In the final three minutes, TCU scored touchdowns on an onside kick return and an interception return to deliver a misleading final score.
Missouri (-22½) 41, Arkansas State 19: While the Tigers still fell short on the closing line, this spread was at 21 or 21½ most of the week, meaning a slim cover with the final margin at 22 points. That result seemed highly improbable with Arkansas State leading this game 16-14 well into the second half. Missouri led by four entering the fourth and added two touchdowns in the final five-plus minutes to pull away.
Colorado State (-13½) 59, UTEP 42: This game featured some big momentum shifts as Colorado State saw a 28-7 halftime lead erased with three touchdowns in the first seven minutes of the third quarter from UTEP. A safety turned things around for the Rams and by the start of the fourth quarter, Colorado State was up nine, though still short of the spread. Colorado State eventually pulled away with a 52-28 lead at one point and while UTEP scored two more touchdowns, including scoring as time expired, the Rams held on in the shootout.
Georgia (-3) 44, LSU 41: One of the biggest games of the week lived up the hype, providing one of the more entertaining games of the season in a shootout led by the two high profile quarterbacks trading scores. Georgia led by seven at the half and entering the fourth quarter, but LSU continued to answer. After Georgia settled for a field goal, LSU took the lead with just over four minutes to go to get up by four. Georgia scored with relative ease to take the lead back, but many feared too much time was left on the clock. LSU’s final drive was stopped as Georgia held on for the three-point win, but LSU backers did hold on for a push with some getting a win as the spread jumped to 3½ at times late in the week.
Oregon (-39½) 55, California 16: The Ducks continue to be heavily bet at any price as this spread climbed four points throughout the week and that gap proved critical for those that played the game late. Oregon led 55-3 early in the third quarter, but with a strong passing game, this will not likely be the last time that California is in play for a backdoor cover. The Bears would score two touchdowns including the second with just three minutes to go in the game. Incredibly, the extra point was missed on that final score putting the margin at 39 rather than 38 and with -38 or -38½ as common numbers late in the week it proved to be a huge play for many. In the young Mark Helfrich era, the Ducks had done some fourth quarter scoring, but Oregon did not score a point in the final 25 minutes in this game.
Bowling Green (-15) 31, Akron 14: Bowling Green recovered from a rough start to squeak out a cover against an Akron squad that continues to provide competitive efforts. The Zips led 14-3 after the first quarter, but they would not score again and Bowling Green added a touchdown with less than five minutes to go in the game to get by the number.
South Carolina (-7) 28, Central Florida 25: UCF led 10-0 at the half, but they missed an opportunity to add more points with a turnover in the red zone. South Carolina regrouped and took over in the second half, running the ball with great success with Connor Shaw knocked out of the game. The Gamecocks took a 28-10 lead early in the fourth, but a 73-yard pass play put the Knights back in the game. An interception on the next UCF possession appeared to end those comeback hopes, but a nine-play drive that was intended to ice the game ended in a fumble for South Carolina. Central Florida was back in the end zone in the final two minutes to earn the cover for the underdog Knights.
Tennessee (-17) 31, South Alabama 24: Tennessee led 31-7 against South Alabama early in the second half, but things got rather interesting late in Knoxville as the underdog took the cash and nearly had a shot at a major upset. Tennessee posted a total of 58 yards on its final six possessions while South Alabama put up 17 points despite missing a field goal along the way. On fourth and goal, South Alabama’s upset threat ended with an interception with less than two minutes left on the clock as the Volunteers escaped.
Ohio State (-7½) 31, Wisconsin 24: The line on this Big Ten Leaders clash was at -7 much of the week despite opening and closing at -7½, and -6½ was even briefly available at a few outlets. The game provided plenty of late drama as Ohio State seemingly pulled away with a 31-14 lead entering the fourth quarter, not necessarily out-playing the Badgers but making fewer mistakes. Wisconsin missed a short field goal early in the game, allowed a long touchdown pass on the final play of the first half, and had a procedure penalty that wiped away a game-changing turnover. The Badgers battled back into the game late with a touchdown early in the fourth and a few stops on defense. Wisconsin settled for a field goal after stalling with just over two minutes to go and then on defense nearly got a miracle as a bad snap bounced around before Braxton Miller recovered it. Wisconsin got the ball back with no timeouts, but they were pinned deep and the final margin stayed at seven leaving a push for most.
UNLV (+1½) 56, New Mexico 42: This line flipped late in the week, but it did not matter as UNLV snapped a long losing streak in road games. The game was tied at the half and deep into the fourth quarter, but the Rebels held on defense in the final frame and delivered two late scores in the final minute, the first touchdown coming on a 15-play, 80-yard drive and the second play coming in opposite fashion as Tim Cornett broke a 75-yard run to put the game away.
Fresno State (-17½) 42, Hawaii 37: Those waking up to see the final score in the late Saturday night game at Hawaii saw a very different result than those than how the game actually played out. Fresno State led 42-3 late in the third quarter before Hawaii made things very interesting, taking advantage of turnovers and sitting down just five points halfway through the fourth quarter. The final eight possessions for Fresno State featured five turnovers and three punts as the offense could not put the game away, but the defense held on with an interception at the three-yard line ending the amazing comeback bid.
Re: College Betting Recap - Week 5
Week 5 News and Notes Part 1
By Phil Steele
Virginia Tech's Logan Thomas had a fine night hitting 19-25-225 despite coming in completing less than 50% of his passes. Georgia Tech’s rush offense ranked #4 in the country, but was held to 129 yards - more than 200 below the season average - by an outstanding VT D despite the fact that VT had a short practice week to defend the option. The active VT def front controlled their O-line during the game. VT forced an early fumble and drove 27/pl for a td then got an interception at its own 13 mid-1Q. VT took its 3rd drive 91/10pl for a td and a 14-0 lead and it was 14-3 at half with VT having a 181-160 yard edge. GT got a big 3&8, 40 yard pass on the opening drive of the 3Q and would go 82/14pl including an unnecessary VT pass interference in the endzone on 3&gl from the 10. VT punted but then went 26/8pl for a 39 yard FG to go up by 7. The Yellow Jackets went for it on 4&2 at their own 34 and were stopped but the Hokies, after 1 FD, missed a chipshot 25 yard FG which could have clinched it. After each team punted, GT would get to midfield but on 4&13, was intercepted from its own 42 with 1:06 left.
Tulsa’s Cody Green hit 18-31-237 vs Iowa St but lost control on a couple of exchanges with the RB and also dropped the ball while attempting to pass and had an interception. He was replaced on the 3rd series of the 3Q by Dane Evans who hit 8-18-51. Evans QB’d 3 drives but then Green came off the bench with the team down 31-14 and guided Tulsa 75/9pl for a td. His next drive ended on an interception at the TU35 setting up Iowa St’s clinching 26/6pl drive capped by a td run which came on 4&1. This appeared to be a low scoring battle as it was 7-0 mid-2Q but TU went 69/8pl for a td with 4:58 left in the half to tie it at 7. After a Cyclones’ punt, the Golden Hurricane went 61/5pl for a 9 yard td pass with 1:33 left, 14-7. Then the Cyclones went 66/8pl and on 3&7 got a 10 yard td pass with :15 left in the half to make it 14-14. At the end, Green’s interception had set up Iowa St with 3:44 left. The Cyclones got 1 FD then on 4&1 a 3 yard td run made the final 38-21 (59 points). Iowa St had 25-22 FD and 434-374 yard edges and Sam B. Richardson, while still not 100%, hit 26-41-255 and rushed for 25 yards on 14 carries.
BYU only ran 8 plays in the 1Q as Middle Tenn had almost 12:00 TOP. Both showed explosive return games with MT taking the opening KO 50 yards to the BYU40, setting up a 42 yard FG and BYU getting a 90 yard KR to the 5 setting up a 3&gl, 12 yard td run by Taysom Hill, 7-3. BYU fumbled the punt at its own 24 and MT converted on 4&1 then on 3&gl from the 16 for a td to lead 10-7. BYU went 51/9pl but on 1&gl at the 3 fumbled. After MT was tackled for a safety, BYU went 74/5pl but on 2&6 from the 6, Michael Alisa fumbled into the endzone for a touchback costing BYU its 2nd score. BYU would get a 50 yard td run by Hill and a 67/7pl drive for a 2 yard td run with :15 left in the half, 23-10. BYU opened the 3Q with a 60/12pl drive to take command, 30-10. MT was SOD at the BYU41 and BYU got a 71 yard PR td with :28 left in the 3Q, 37-10. BYU fumbled the 2nd punt at the MT49 but the D forced a 3&out. BYU was intercepted 2pl later at their own 12 but MT was intercepted in the endzone with 12:14 left. MT went 73/12pl and on 4&1 was SOD at the BYU7 with 5:17 left. The Cougars went 43/8pl and ran out the clock and finished with a commanding 486-212 yard edge.
It’s surprising that the Utah St/San Jose St game only had 52 total points in it. Last week the high for FD’s for the week in an FBS vs FBS game was 50 FD’s. In this game USt had 32 FD’s and SJSt 28 for a total of 60, yet the 2 would combine for just 52 points despite nearly 1,000 yards offense. The Aggies went on a 75/10pl drive to open for a td and the Spartans went 69/14 for a 31 yard FG, 7-3. USt went 80/7pl and 73/12pl, the first for a td but after a 1&gl at the 4 they settled for a short FG. SJSt went on a 66/11pl drive and after a 1&gl at the 7, settled for a 26 yard FG. The Aggies went 82/9pl but settled for a 24 yard FG also inside the 10. SJSt went on a 61/5pl drive and missed a 42 yard FG and USt had a 321-207 yard edge at the half yet the score was just 23-6. The Spartans went 57/16pl but on 3&gl from the 1 fumbled and it was returned 24 yards. USt went 75/12pl for a td to lead 30-6. SJSt went 54/7pl for a td with 3:02 left in the 3Q, 30-12. USt, after an interception, went 28/5pl for a td, 37-12 with :15 left in the 3Q. The Aggies went on an 88/7pl drive, but after a 1&gl they settled for a 21 yard FG, 40-12, with 5:25 left and that closed the scoring.
Pitt was fortunate to escape the Virginia game with a 14-3 win. UVA came in with my #1 pass efficiency D allowing just 37% completions and held Tom Savage to 13-30-190. Three times UVA went for it on 4th down and was stopped in Pitt territory and Pitt’s 2 td’s were set up by a bonehead PR man and a fumble (19 and 18 yard “drives”). Pitt had just a 199-188 yard edge. The first score happened when UVA’s Dominique Terrell let the ball bounce on the punt and then followed it down the field when he should’ve gotten away from it. The ball naturally hit him in the leg and Pitt recovered to set up its 19 yard drive. The 2nd came on a fumble on 3&10 and the Panthers drove 18/2pl for a td and a 14-0 lead. The Cavs went for it on 4&2 at the P27 and was SOD twice; first with 8:21 left in the 2Q and then on 4&4 at the P29 with 5:27 left before half. Pitt did miss a 36 yard FG. At half the Panthers only had a 94-76 yard edge. UVA drove 37/7pl and this time on 4&2, took a 32 yard FG. Instead of potentially trailing 14-9, the Cavs were still down 14-3 so they were forced to go for it on 4&2 with 3:30 left at the P4 and once again were SOD for a 3rd time.
East Carolina’s Vintavious Cooper ran for a career high 186 yards as they smashed North Carolina 55-31. They had 36-26 FD and 603-465 yard edges. The last time ECU beat UNC on the road was back in 1975. In the previous game ECU’s offense had taken on an excellent VT D and was sacked 7 times with QB Shane Carden tossing 3 interceptions. However, in this game he accounted for 6 td’s (3 passing, 3 rushing). Not only did ECU produce 603 yards, but Carden hit 32-47-376. The Pirates went 73/11pl on their first possession and 54/8pl on their 2nd possession for a 14-0 lead and would extend it to 35-10 after their first drive of the 3Q. Each scored on the next 6 drives with ECU settling for 32 and 29 yard FG’s and only led 48-31. The Pirates then forced a punt and went 68/6pl for a td with 3:33 left on 4&1, a 48 yard pass to make the final 55-31.
South Carolina had scored 72 of their 90 points on the season in the first half of their 3 games with only 20 in the 2H, but it was the opposite here. UCF dominated the 1H leading 10-0 with a 196-164 yard edge. Things didn’t look good for the Gamecocks when starting QB Connor Shaw sprained his right shoulder at the start of the 2Q and missed the final 3Q’s (reportedly out 2-3 weeks). SC got a 53 yard td run on the 4th play of the 2H and would take the lead with 3:58 left in the 3Q capping a 97/11pl drive. After an interception they drove 34/6pl and after a fumble they drove 31/4pl to blow it open, 28-10. It was 28-18 when SC took over with 6:48 left and went 78/9pl. They got a 45 yard pass to the 2 yard line but then fumbled on the next play with 3:18 left and UCF got a 79 yard pass to Breshard Perriman and a 7 yard td pass to Rannell Hall to pull within 3 with 1:54 left. SC returned the onside kick 31 yards to the UCF15 and took a knee.
Tennessee could have turned the South Alabama game into a blowout but blew 2 scoring opportunities and it almost came back to bite them. USA took its opening possession 82/6pl for a td but UT wore them down. Trailing 7-3 the Vols went 92/9pl, 69/7pl, and 73/4pl all for td’s to lead 24-7. UT’s next drive got to the USA24 but on 3rd down they were intercepted in the endzone with 6:40 left. UT then went 74/13. On 2&gl from the 4 with :25 left in the half they were intercepted in the endzone and returned 14 yards. What could have been a 38-7 lead was just 24-7. UT opened the 3Q with a 76/6pl td drive to make it 31-7. The Jaguars forced their first punt since UT’s first drive of the game and got a 58 yard PR all the way down to the UT15. USA went 15/2pl for a td; 68/10pl for a 24 yard FG; then 37/9pl but missed a 41 yard FG. UT went for a 52 yard FG with 10:52 left and not only was it short, but USA returned it to the UT29. That 52 yarder was forced when the Vols faked a 47 yarder and were successful for a big gain but illegal procedure brought it back 5 yards. The Jaguars went 29/6pl for a td to pull within 7. USA got it back with 7:53 left on its own 13 and went 79/16pl getting a 4&gl from the 8 when they were intercepted in the endzone.
Last week after their loss to Maryland, Mountaineers’ Coach Holgorsen said that Ford Childress was still his starter, but he was injured so they went to their third starting QB in Florida St transfer Clint Trickett, who I projected as the starter in my magazine in the spring. Trickett hit 24-50-309 yards vs Oklahoma St and West Virginia, as a 3 td dog, pulled the upset, 30-21. JW Walsh went through a stretch where he had 6 consecutive incompletions and hit 20-47-322. In the 1H OSU had a 280-169 yard edge but the game turned with OSU up 7-0 and WV having 1 FD. OSU, leading 7-0 and WV got a 58 yard IR td to tie it at 7. The Mountaineers would use that momentum to lead 24-14 at the half with the Cowboys missing a 44 yard FG. OSU had a 280-169 yard edge at the half. OSU opened the 3Q with a 58/4pl td drive and WV went on a 10pl drive and missed a 50 yard FG. It was just a 3 point game. The teams punted on the next 5 possessions. WV went 60/6pl and missed a 34 yard FG. 2 punts. OSU got a 36 yard PR to the WV44 and had a 1&gl at the 3 threatening to take the lead but settled for a 23 yard FG and missed it. After each team punted, WV took over with 7:27 left and went 42/10pl and got a 27 yard FG for a 6 point lead then 2pl later got an interception at the OSU36 and 7pl later added a 34 yard FG with 1:28 left to clinch it. WV had just 6 FD’s last week but had a 21-18 FD edge here.
TCU had a very misleading 48-17 win over SMU. They only had a 16-15 FD edge and 335-292 yard edge. In the 1H Trevone Boykin was just 7-16 and SMU controlled. They should have been leading by more than their 10-7 edge and TCU was booed some in the 1H. SMU was intercepted at the TCU25 and fumbled at its own 30 but led 10-7 at the half with a 147-120 yard edge. The Horned Frogs punted on their opening 3Q possession but then got a 24 yard PR to set up a 35 yard FG to tie it. The Mustangs were intercepted and returned 25 yards and TCU, on 3&18, got a 20 yard td pass to cap the 32 yard “drive” and led 17-10. TCU got a 56 yard td pass to go up by 14 but the game was 34-17 with 3:00 left. SMU tried the onside kick and not only did TCU’s LaDarius Brown have the ball bounce up and hit him directly in the chest, he raced 45 yards for a td to put the Frogs up by 24 with 2:54 left. TCU added an IR td with 1:34 left for the misleading final.
As expected, Illinois dominated Miami, Oh with 36-14 FD and 601-250 yard edges. They led 36-0 at the half (UI 394-104 yard edge). Nathan Scheelhaase hit 19-24-278. MU’s 104 yards of offense at the half were more than they had for the total game in either of their previous two. UI led 43-0 when MU went 75/9pl for a 1 yard td run then backup QB Reilly O’Toole was intercepted and MU went 41/9pl to pull within 43-14. UI answered with a 75/10pl drive and then 3rd string QB Aaron Bailey came in. UI went 40/12pl getting to the MU6 where they took a knee.
It was a first time a MAC team had beaten two Big Ten foes in the same season ever. Northern Illinois was actually outFD’d 29-22 and outgained 524-402 but had a 5-1 TO edge which helped them turn this one against Purdue into a blowout. Starting QB Rob Henry was pulled and true frosh Danny Etling came in late in the 1H and QB’d the rest of the game hitting 19-39-241. Trailing 20-7 PU was intercepted and returned 50 yards and NI went 29/4pl for a td, 27-7. PU seemed to gain momentum with a 47 yard FG on the 1H’s final play to pull within 27-10 and PU had a 280-246 yard edge at the half. NIU got a 99 yard KR to open the 3Q then a 62 yard IR td. PU was SOD at the NI34 at the start of the 4Q and NIU went on to a 55-24 win.
Miami, FL’s Stephen Morris hit 11-16-222 but re-injured his ankle, and although it wasn’t very serious they were able to hold him out the rest of the game vs USF. USF struggled and the game was not as close as the 49-21 final. UM did not punt in the 1H, fumbling twice deep in USF territory and missing a FG. They had a 35-7 lead and a 411-125 yard edge. Backup QB Ryan Williams came in with 7:19 left in the 2Q and hit 8-14-153. It was 49-7 when USF got an 11 yard IR td with 13:38 left then USF took over at its own 4 with 3:01 left and went 96/9pl and got a 4&5, 16 yard td pass on a garbage drive that made the yards appear close at 540-288 and only a 28 point margin.
Navy’s offense had been unstoppable but WKU had 23-10 FD and 417-183 yard edges. They did lose starting QB Keenan Reynolds late in the 2Q and would have just 65 yards offense in the 2H. The Midshipmen had 67 yards on their opening drive of the game and very little after that. Surprisingly it was 7-3 at the half with WKU being intercepted and missing a 36 yard FG. WKU’s RB Antonio Andrews rushed for 182 yards - almost outgaining Navy for the game. The Hilltoppers were SOD at the N22 but went 61/8pl on their next drive to lead 17-7.
Bowling Green struggled at times vs Akron. The Zips opened with 67/3pl and 72/12pl td drives and led 14-3. The two teams combined for 5 punts on the next 5 possessions. BG blocked a punt with 4:53 left in the half and got a 22 yard td pass with 1:41 left to gain momentum. They only trailed 14-10 with Akron having a 204-159 yard edge. BG went 69/11pl, and 60/6pl for td’s to lead 24-14. The key play happened when Akron went 74/11pl. On 4&gl at the 1 they settled for a 19 yard FG, much like last week when they missed FG’s in the final minutes of the game. They missed the 19 yard FG and BG went 80/13pl getting an 11 yard td run with 4:49 left to have their biggest lead of the game, 31-14 and Akron’s final drive was SOD at its own 31. BG had a 396-296 yard edge.
Ball St had 463-415 yard and 29-23 FD edges. Toledo got a 23 yard FR td to lead 10-7 late in the 1Q and the Cardinals went 70/5pl but settled for a 22 yard FG. BSt went 73/8pl for a td to lead 17-10 and had a 275-126 yard edge at the half. On UT’s second 3Q drive they went 68/13pl but fumbled at the 9. UT went 80/9pl for a td to tie it. It was tied 24-24 with 6:20 left when Ball St went 71/8pl for a td with 3:01 left. UT’s last gasp came on 4&6 at the BS49 when they fired incomplete. Keith Wenning hit 27-38-335 and Terrance Owens, who almost didn’t play last week, but was forced to come off the bench (still not 100%) hit 34-46-274 this week.
Troy and Duke had the expected shootout but surprisingly the 4Q was almost scoreless. After the first 3 possessions were punts, there were 7 scoring drives on the next 9 possessions and Duke led 28-21 at the half with a 322-275 yard edge. Troy opened the 3Q with a 91/7pl td drive to tie then Duke went 75/10pl for a td, 35-28. Surprisingly the next 10 possessions there were 8 punts with the only non-punts being a Troy 50/11pl drive for a 37 yard FG with 12:49 left which made it 35-31. Duke took over with 5:11 left and went 51/9pl settling for a 34 yard FG for the 38-31 final. Troy got to midfield but its deep pass was intercepted at the 6 on the last play.
Tajh Boyd became the second ACC QB to account for 100 career td’s and hit 17-24-311 yards vs Wake Forest while backup Cole Stoudt got plenty of action and was impressive again hitting 10-11-90. Clemson finished with a 573-222 yard edge. They led 35-7 at the half with a 361-142 yard edge even with CU punting on 3 consecutive possessions. After punting on their first drive of the 3Q, the Tigers went 46/10pl, 72/9pl, and 56/12pl for td’s en route to their 56-7 win.
Oklahoma had 25-12 FD and 450-324 yard edges but did benefit from 3 TO’s, including one on the third play of the game when an interception was returned 24 yards for a td. Notre Dame was intercepted on the very next play, the second interception on 4 plays and Oklahoma turned it into a 32/4pl td drive. Trailing 14-7, ND had a 3&10 from the OU24 but was intercepted at the 12 with 5:25 left in the half and the Sooners went 88/10pl and got a 26 yard td pass with :42 left for a 21-7 lead. The Irish actually had a 190-164 yard edge at the half. Oklahoma, leading 21-14 would go 43/9pl, and 65/9pl for 27 and 19 yard FG’s. The Irish got a 30 yard td pass to pull within 27-21, but on 3&3 OU got a 54 yard td pass to go up 35-21. ND punted on its next 3 possessions and the Sooners took over with 5:39 left and went 38/10pl taking a knee at the ND17. Blake Bell hit 22-30-232 and Tommy Rees just 9-24-104.
Florida St went on the road and once again had a “B” or even a “C” game as they only had a 519-407 yard edge vs Boston College and a 25-22 FD edge. Special teams did set BC up for some key drives. A 19 yard PR set up the Eagles for a 36/8pl td drive, but then up 7-3, BC took its 2nd possession 75/10pl for a td and a stunning 14-3 lead. Florida St tied it at 17 and got the ball back with :50 left in the half. On 3&5, Jameis Winston just got the snap off, avoided a sack and threw a 53 yard Hail Mary to Kenny Shaw to give FSU a 24-17 halftime lead and 260-182 yard edge. FSU appeared on its way to a 4 td blowout as they opened it up to 38-20 after their second drive of the 3Q and 47-27 with 13:41 left, but FSU’s D could not get BC off the field. BC went 75/7pl to get within 14, then got an interception. They drove 43/14pl but were intercepted at the 1 and returned 30 yards and FSU basically ran the clock.
Iowa absolutely dominated Minnesota, much as I expected. As I mentioned on my website a couple times during the week, Iowa came in having outgained foes by 135 ypg on the year and UM, despite a 4-0 record and 4 weak opponents, was just +15 ypg. That information proved valuable as Iowa had 464-165 yard and 22-11 FD edges. Philip Nelson did return to the starting lineup for UM but hit 12-24-135. Jake Rudock was 15-25-218. This time the yardage looked like the final margin of the game with Iowa winning 23-7. The Hawkeyes led 17-0 at the half with a 229-80 yard edge. They opened the 3Q with a 75/15pl drive but settled for a 23 yard FG. UM got a 66 yard KR to set up its only score, a 23 yard td pass and Iowa went 54/8pl but on 2&3 from the 17 was intercepted in the endzone. Iowa went 62/11pl but settled for a 46 yard FG and Iowa ended the game at the UM17 yard line taking a knee in their dominating win.
Shadrach Thornton, who was suspended for the opener for NC State, finally got fully integrated into the lineup and led the team with 71 yards rushing on 13 carries against Central Mich. The Wolfpack had 486-248 yard and 19-13 FD edges but did benefit from scoring on defense and special teams. NCSt got a 37 yard IR td to lead 7-0. CMU went on a 59/10pl drive but missed a 38 yard FG. NCSt went 68/9pl then 67/2pl for td’s and added a 67 yard IR td to go up 28-0. They went 64/5pl for a td and led 35-0 at the half with a 284-93 yard edge. NCSt was intercepted at the CM13 but drove 36/9pl for a 46 yard FG. CMU went 78/9pl for a td to make it 38-7, then 53/3 to make it 38-14. However, the Chips were intercepted in the endzone with 9:38 left; intercepted at their own 43 with 8:39 left; and SOD at the NCSt38 on their last 3 possessions.
We’re already 2-for-2 for Coaches on the Hot Seat listed in our summer blog being fired. After a 41-12 loss to Buffalo, Connecticut’s Pasqualoni was shown the door on Monday. Buffalo was not as dominant as their 41-12 final would indicate but did have a 330-220 yard edge although the FD’s were just 15-14. Conn turned the ball over 4 times and opens the season 0-4. The Huskies were off a big effort vs Michigan and now had to travel to face a Bulls team that was off a bye so the situation greatly favored Buffalo. Chandler Whitmer hit 10-24-182 but turned it over 4 times and was replaced by Casey Cochran who hit 2-5-11. UB recovered a fumble and drove 8/4pl for a td, got a 33 yard IR td, and then drove 76/4pl for a 21-6 lead. They blocked a 48 yard UC FG and recovered at the UC36 and 4pl later had a 28-6 lead. UC actually had a 208-169 yard edge at the half despite trailing 28-12. UB went 26/10pl for a 49 yard FG then after an int, 19/5pl for a 50 yard FG, 34-12. They added a 64/9pl drive for a td with 10:28 left for the 41-12 final.
Garrett Grayson hit 17-28-307 for Colorado St. Jameill Showers hit 26-43-365 yards for UTEP. Each team went on a long drive for a td to open. After each team punted, CSt went 56/6pl, 71/7pl, and 55/7pl for td’s and a commanding 28-7 halftime lead with a 252-115 yard edge. UTEP got a 75 yard td pass from Showers to Jordan Leslie on the first play of the 3Q. After CSt fumbled, Showers, found Leslie on a 48 yard td pass 2pl later. UTEP drove 68/7pl for a td and with 8:01 left in the 3Q tied it at 28. The Rams missed a 35 yard FG but the Miners on 3&14 were sacked in the endzone for a safety. They fumbled at the end of the next possession and CSt would get 56/3pl and 60/5pl drives for td’s to lead 45-28. After UTEP was SOD at the CS25, the Rams put it away with a 75/5pl drive for a td, 52-28. Each team would score a td in the final 3 possessions with the Miners coming after they took over with 3:08 left and went 72/12pl capped by a garbage 21 yard td pass on 4&10 with no time left.
Georgia played its 3rd top 10 team in the month of September and the LSU/UGA game lived up to the hype. Zach Mettenberger hit 23-37-372 and Aaron Murray 20-34-298. For all of the talk about Murray not being able to defeat a top 10 foe, he played well and guided the game winning drive. At the half UGA had a commanding 306-133 yard and 17-7 FD edge and led 24-17. The teams traded scores on the first 3 possessions of the 2H but then LSU fumbled a punt at its 20 and on 3&11 Murray tossed a 21 yard td pass for a 34-27 lead. They scored on the next 3 possessions with UGA settling for a 38 yard FG and LSU getting a pair of td’s to take a 41-37 lead with 4:14 left. Murray then led a 75/6pl drive and had a 25 yard td pass with 1:47 left. LSU got out to its own 45 but on 4&10 fired incomplete.
A storm pushed the Army/Louisiana Tech game back about an hour prior to KO and the game was delayed again in the 1Q. Army had 28-20 FD and 430-377 yard edges on the opening weekend of the Texas State Fair, playing in the Cotton Bowl, the same place where Texas and Oklahoma play. Angel Santiago hit just 1-3-16 but Army rushed for 414. LT’s Ryan Higgins hit 20-36-320. Army went 82/13pl and 66/13pl on their first 2 possessions for td’s and a 14-0 lead. It was 21-9 at half with Army having a 267-153 yard edge. Each team went on a long td drive to open the 3Q, 28-16. After an exchange of punts, Army went 61/12pl for a td to make it 35-16 with just 8:52 left. LT punted with 7:44 left; fumbled at its own 49 with 6:30 left; and was intercepted at the one on the final play as they gained 46 yards on the garbage drive, converting on 3&19, 3&6 and 3&10.
I was surprised that Temple was favored by a td in the Kibbie Dome and was also impressed with the home crowd for Idaho. While nowhere near a sellout, it was an enthusiastic crowd. In the 1H Idaho rolled to a 273-146 yard edge. They got a 64 yard td pass on their first possession to lead 7-0 and would never trail. They extended the lead to 17-3 at the half, missing a 50 yard FG with :02 left. Temple battled back in the 2H getting within 20-10 after 3Q’s. Trailing 23-10 they got a 51 yard td pass with 12:54 left to get within 6. Idaho got a 25 yard FG with 6:11 left and Temple would go 75/10pl for a 2 yard td run with 3:32 left to get within 2. Idaho got a crucial 3&10 run by Chad Chalich for a FD and didn’t have to punt until :10 was left. Chalich hit 26-43-310 while Temple’s Connor Reilly hit 23-47-249 and Idaho had a 478-410 yard edge for the game.
The key play in the Houston/UTSA game was a blocked FG in the 3Q. UH not only returned that 78 yards for a td, they had a 5-0 TO edge in their dominating 59-28 win over UTSA. John O’Korn continues to impress me hitting 24-36-312 despite being knocked out of the game for a series. They also have a running QB in Greg Ward Jr. who hit 2-3-29 and rushed 4 times for 11 yards. Also impressive was UTSA’s offense which rolled up 493 yards as Eric Soza, a senior QB, hit 29-40-316. The game was 21-21 at the half and UH settled for a 25 yard FG. UTSA lined up for the game tying FG but UH not only blocked it, but returned it 78 yards for a td with 3:11 left in the 3Q. After each team scored a td, UH got an interception setting up a 26 yard FG and missed it. Another interception set up a 54/7pl drive for a td. Two possession later an interception set up a 15 yard td run and UH capped the scoring with :46 left on a 96 yard IR td so the game was much closer than the 59-28 final.
Oregon St’s Sean Mannion continues his red hot start to the season. He hit 27-52-414 yards despite gusty wind conditions and he had 4 td passes. Connor Wood for Colorado hit just 14-34-146 yard. While the Beavers led 17-3 at half, they had 285-112 yard and 14-4 FD edges as they settled for a 36 yard FG and fumbled at the CU19 but did score a td with :11 left in the half. They opened it up to 38-3 and Mannion on 4&3 from the CU9 fired incomplete late in the 3Q. It was 44-11 when CU took over with 1:18 left and went 80/5pl getting a 28 yard td pass with :12 left on a great catch by Paul Richardson.
Bishop Sankey ran for a school record 40 rush attempts for Washington and had 161 yards in a battle of RB’s. Ka’Deem Carey for Arizona rushed 30-132. It was stormy conditions so both were forced to rely more on the ground. Keith Price hit just 14-25-165 and BJ Denker was definitely bothered by the wet conditions hitting 14-35-119. The Wildcats did not have a FD on their first 5 possessions. Rich Rodriguez chewed Denker out on the sidelines late in the 2Q and Arizona went 89/14pl. They got a 3 yard td run with :06 left in the half to pull within 11-6. At the half, thanks to that final drive, they were only being outgained 152-149. UW opened the 3Q with a 95/14pl drive for a td but Arizona went 72/15pl getting a 7 yard td run by Denker 2pl after converting on 4&10. UW went 90/10pl for a td, 25-13 and UA was SOD at the UW41. UA was intercepted at the UW37 with 7:36 left and the Huskies went 59/10pl getting a 2 yard td run with 3:34 left to close the scoring. UW had 409-318 yard and 24-19 FD edges.
Florida lost QB Jeff Driskel and DT Dominique Easley to season ending injuries within the week. Tyler Murphy got his first start and hit 15-18-156 while rushing for 36 yards on 7 carries. UF had a dominating 402-173 yard and a 22-12 FD edge. I expected a defensive struggle and it surprised me that the first 2 drives of the game both went for td’s. UF went 93/13pl for a 2 yard td run. Kentucky went 75/10pl. On 4&9, they faked a FG and K Joe Mansour took the flip over the shoulder from the holder and raced 25 yards for a td. UF missed a 53 yard FG on its 2nd drive, but went 79/3pl for a td on its 3rd and 62/9pl for a td on its 4th to lead 21-7 at half with a 261-124 yard edge. UF was intercepted at the UK24 and went 64/15pl for a 33 yard FG with 10:49 left to lead 24-7. UK’s last gasp ended on a 4&28 Hail Mary pass at the UF38.
Re: College Betting Recap - Week 5
Week 5 News and Notes Part 2
By Phil Steele
All week long we heard about how Alabama’s defense was susceptible to a mobile QB and Ole Miss’ Bo Wallace talked about how he was confident they would score points vs Bama. Alabama finished with 434-205 yard and 21-11 FD edges becoming the first #1 ranked team to shutout a ranked team since 2001. Bama’s offense did struggle in the 1H as they settled for 3 FG’s and led 9-0 with a 171-118 yard edge. They did get a 68 yard td run by TJ Yeldon on the second play of the 3Q. Three times the Rebels went for it on 4th down and were SOD. The first came on their opening drive at the UA28, the 2nd on 4&2 at the UA8 with 3:30 left in the 3Q, and the 3rd (after an interception, started at the UA31) when they were SOD at the 18 with 12:30 left in the game. Bama added a safety with 5:43 left and a 50 yard Kenyan Drake td run one play after the free kick for the 25-0 lead. Bama was SOD at the UM9 with 2:48 left and took a knee at the UM28 to end. AJ McCarron hit 25-32 but for just 180 yards while Bo Wallace hit 17-31-159 and rushed 12 times for a net of 5 yards.
Tough loss for Florida Atlantic as they led Rice for the majority of the game and FAU was up late in the 4Q. FAU finished with a 366-273 yard edge. The FAU td in the 1H came on a pass to William Dukes who fumbled but picked it back up and continued on a 42 yard jaunt for the 7-3 lead and it was 7-6 at the half. FAU had a 172-160 yard edge at half. FAU missed a 42 yard FG on its opening 3Q drive. There were 5 punts. FAU was SOD at the R13 with 11:42 left but drove 80/5pl with a 54 yard run by Jonathan Wallace the key. A 15 yard td pass with 6:07 left put FAU up by 8. FAU had the ball but Greg Hankerson was sacked and fumbled and it was returned 7 yards for a td. FAU stopped the 2 point attempt and still led 14-12 with 4:17 left but then Hankerson was intercepted on the next play and Rice went 41/4pl capped by a 20 yard td run by Darik Dillard to take the lead 18-14 with 3:35 left. Hankerson’s 4&9 pass was intercepted.
Tulane upset ULM 31-14 with 17-15 FD and 318-293 yard edges. It was their 2nd road upset already this year after having knocked off Louisiana Tech in a Thursday night game. ULM was SOD at the TU18 and missed a 32 yard FG and TU led 10-0 at the half with ULM having a 145-139 yard edge. Orleans Darkwa continues to round into form and had a 54 yard run to open the 3Q and his 1 yard td run made it 17-0. Darkwa had 17 rushes for 118 yards. Nick Montana struggled hitting just 7-20-65 but TU’s D held the explosive Kolton Browning (later hurt in game and now out for the year) to 12-27-134 passing and 9 carries for 1 yard rush. Browning was sacked and fumbled and TU returned it 33 yards for a td and a 24-0 lead. ULM fumbled the punt at its own 26 and TU got a 26 yard td pass 2pl later to lead 31-7 after 3Q’s. ULM went 88/9pl for a td with 7:45 left to “only” lose by 17.
Ohio St’s Braxton Miller looked great on his return, throwing darts for most of the night. He hit 17-25-198 and ran for 22-83, not showing any rust. Wisconsin's Joel Stave was a solid 20-35-295 and Jared Abbrederis looked like one of the best receivers in the country with 207 yards on 10 receptions. Ohio St is always tough at home at night. The Buckeyes led 17-7 when UW got a td with 1:30 left in the half to make it 17-14. OSU got 2 FD’s then Miller was almost intercepted on 3&7 with :16 left. He had time for 1 more play and fired a dart 40 yards into the endzone for a td to Philly Brown, a beautiful catch with :01 left to give them a 24-14 lead. As I mentioned in a tweet, the last 3 times UW had travelled to OSU, the Buckeyes’ D had held them to 73 yards rushing. This time had just 104 yards rushing. Melvin Gordon was a respectable 15-74. OSU led 31-14 when the Badgers got a td with 13:47 left. UW punted with 6:42 left and OSU came up a yard short and punted with 4:38 left. UW went 60/11pl getting a 42 yard FG to pull within 31-24. OSU punted again with 1:29 left but UW, on 4&4 from its own 16, fired incomplete. OSU took a knee.
Kent St got Dri Archer back in the lineup and while he had just 6 carries for 73 yards and 4 receptions for 48 yards, Trayion Durham rushed for 154 yards on 26 carries. Kent St would finish with a 26-13 FD edge on the road vs winless Western Mich and a 452-310 yard edge. The game was tied 7-7 when Kent St got a 31 yard td pass with 4:54 left in the half to go up 15-7. They had a 205-111 yard edge at the half. They were intercepted from the 43 at the WM2 with 1:06 left in the half. WMU opened the 3Q with an 88/6pl drive and on 3&gl got a 12 yard td pass to pull within 15-14. Kent St went 51/12pl for a td and 2 possessions later, went 76/11pl for a 7 yard td pass, 29-14. WMU was intercepted late in the 3Q at the KS7, then intercepted at the KS8 with 2:12 left and Kent St got a 65 yard run by Durham setting up a 40 yard FG with 1:29 left to complete their 18 point win.
Vanderbilt’s Austyn Carta-Samuels hit 23-29-334 yards while UAB QB’s Austin Brown hit 10-20-51 and Jonathan Perry hit 9-16-155. Jonathan Krause continues to emerge as the #2 receiver for VU after Chris Boyd was booted off the team. He had 108 yards on 4 receptions. Trailing 10-3, UAB had a 1&gl at the 5 but would settle for a FG to make it 10-6. On its next offensive play VU got a 58 yard td run by Jerron Seymour with 9:04 left in the 2Q then after UAB was intercepted with 2:18 left, VU went 68/9pl for a td on a 1 yard run with :05 left in the half. VU only had a 280-205 yard edge at the half but led 24-6. UAB settled for a 37 yard FG then VU went 83/12pl, and 69/3pl for td’s to go up 38-9. UAB drove 75/5pl to pull within 21 then recovered an onside kick but was SOD on 4&10 at the VU37. VU went 63/5pl then 29/5pl (after int) for td’s in their 52-24 win.
Air Force QB Jaleel Awini was dismissed from the team and they had already lost Kale Pearson to injury prior to the year. That meant 3rd string QB Karson Roberts came in and while he hit just 5-10-55, he rushed for 161 yards on 26 carries and nearly guided an upset. Nevada's QB Cody Fajardo returned to the lineup and hit 38-54 for a career high 389 yards. AF appeared to have the game won. The Falcons, trailing 7-0, went 80/5pl, 22/4pl (after an interception) and 75/4pl for td’s to lead 21-10 and it was 21-17 at the half although UN did have a 335-198 yard edge. The first 6 possessions of the 2H all resulted in scores and AF’s td with 7:44 left put them up 42-30. UN got a td with just 5:56 left then forced a punt with 3:50 left and would drive 50/9pl and got a 2 yard td run to take the lead with 1:45 left. AF got to the UN33 but was intercepted at the 26 with :48 left on 3&3.
UNLV had lost 23 straight games on the road but managed to get a win despite falling behind 14-0 after New Mexico’s first 2 drives. At the half the game was tied at 35 with NM having a 441-308 yard edge. Tied at 42, NM punted with 12:35 left and UNLV went 80/15pl getting a td with 4:46 left for the lead. After forcing another punt they got a 75 yard td run by Tim Cornett for their largest lead of the game, 56-42 and NM was SOD at its own 26 on its last drive. NM had a 581-568 yard edge.
Missouri’s 41-19 win over Arkansas St was not as easy as the final score. ASt did drive 46/9pl and 76/10pl but settled for 46 and 21 yard FG’s. MU missed a 24 yard FG in between those 2 drives and trailed 6-0. MU then went 75/5pl and 80/3 for td’s to take control 14-6 but the Red Wolves started at their 44 with 10:53 left in the 1H and converted on 3&12 then on 3&15 got a 17 yard td pass to cap a 56/11pl drive to pull within 14-13. At the half ASt had a 285-231 yard edge. The Wolves opened the 3Q with a 48/9pl drive for a 44 yard FG and a stunning 16-14 lead. MU punted on its next drive but then went 94/9pl and 87/9pl for td’s, 27-16. ASt went 59/14pl but settled for a 33 yard FG, 27-19 with 7:31 left. MU went 67/6pl for a td with 5:06 left then got an interception at the AS21 and went 21/3pl for a 5 yard td pass with 2:56 left to win by over 3 td’s. After ASt was sacked on 4&6 at its own 22, MU ended the game at the AS8 taking a knee.
Texas St was a large dog as Wyoming came in #8 in the country on offense averaging over 556 ypg and their QB Brett Smith alone averaging 403 ypg. The game was tied at 7 when it went into a 3 hour weather delay in the 2Q. UW did go 54/3pl one drive after they returned and led 14-7 with 3:47 left in the half. After each team punted, TXSt took over with 1:23 left in the half at its 49 and got a 25 yard pass and a 26 yard td pass, 14-14 to take momentum into a shortened halftime (just 8:00). UW was intercepted on the first drive of the 3Q and TXSt went 49/8pl and 80/7pl for td’s and a 28-14 lead. UW was SOD on 4&2 at the TS35 and TXSt went 65/4pl for a td with the first play being a 49 yard pass to the 16, 35-14. UW went 75/8pl for a td with 11:07 left but then was SOD on 4&10 at its own 18. TXSt missed a 27 yard FG. UW was SOD on 4&16 at its own 28 and TXSt got a 4&1, 19 yard td run with :03 left.
I thought Fresno St would suffer a letdown after its big win over Boise St and to be honest, I didn’t stay up and watch the game at 3:00 am, instead opting to go to bed at 1:00 am (I wake up at 5:00 am). I saw the final score but not until going through the play-by-play did I realize how this game played out. Fresno actually dominated Hawaii. At the half the Bulldogs led 21-3 with a 211-115 yard edge then went 75/9pl and 68/10pl for td’s and added a 56 yard IR td to make it 42-3 with 6:15 left in the 3Q. Hawaii QB Ikaika Woolsey hit just 7-19-56 and they replaced him with Sean Schroeder. Schroeder in the final 1.5Q’s of the game would hit 17-27-321. Schroeder’s first play was a 60 yard pass as UH went 63/2pl for a td. Fresno was intercepted and UH drove 43/2pl for a td. The Bulldogs fumbled and UH drove 58/4pl for a td, 42-24 (14:16). Fresno was intercepted and fumbled on its next 2 drives. After punting, UH went 43/2pl for a td to pull within 42-30 with 11:59 left. The Bulldogs punted and the Rainbow Warriors went 80/9pl for a td with 7:51 left. Fresno punted with 3:41 left and UH opted to punt with 3:01 left on 4&4 from its own 13. Fresno punted back with 1:57 left and UH got to the FS40 when on 2&10 with :06 left, Schroeder’s Hail Mary was intercepted at the 3.
Washington St stacked the line so Kevin Hogan took advantage hitting 16-25-286. Stanford also had 2 IR td’s in a game played in rain. SU had a 560-373 yard edge and WSt a 22-20 FD edge. WSt QB Connor Halliday was injured in the 3Q and Austin Apodaca hit 15-29-138 in his place. After each team had opened with a long drive for a FG, SU hit a 3&9, 57 yard pass to take a 10-3 lead. SU went 48/4pl for a td, 17-3 then went 74/17pl but on 2&9 from the 15 was intercepted in the endzone. Washington St went 52/5pl and missed a 45 yard FG. At the half SU had a 311-165 yard edge. In the 2H the Cougars went for it on 4&3 at their own 39 and were SOD, and gave up two 30 yard IR td’s to trail 38-3. Trailing 55-10 with 4:29 left, Washington St and drove 77/11pl for a garbage td with :27 left.
Donnel Pumphrey rushed for 167 yards and 3 td’s for San Diego St as they rallied back vs winless New Mexico St. The Aztecs had also entered the game winless. NMSt took its opening drive 68/10pl for a td and its 2nd drive 69/9pl but settled for a 28 yard FG and led 10-0. NMSt, after recovering a fumble, went 30/2pl for a td but instead of going up 17-0, the xp was blocked and returned for 2 to make it 16-2. SDSt finally got its offense going. They had gone 3&out on their first three possessions and fumbled on the fourth but now went 68/12pl settling for a 25 yard FG. They then went 71/11pl but on 4&gl from the 3 gained 2 yards. SDSt had a 40 yard FG blocked and trailed 16-5 at the half with NMSt having a 184-173 yard edge. NMSt tried a fake punt to open the 3Q and SDSt stuffed it and went 69/14pl for a td to get back to 16-11 (2 point no good). They went 60/8pl for a 2 yard td and the lead, 19-16 then went 73/9pl but on 4&5 were SOD at the 6 with 8:59 left. NMSt punted on its next 2 possessions and the Aztecs went 55/4pl getting a Pumphrey 43 yard td run with 2:51 left to finally gain some breathing room and won 26-16 with a 441-268 yard edge on the road.
Texas A&M and Arkansas both played in the SWC but it was the Aggies’ first trip to Fayetteville since 1990. A&M only had a 26-23 FD edge and 523-483 yard edge as Brandon Allen returned to the lineup for UA and hit 17-36-282. A&M only led 24-20 at the half with only a 316-271 yard edge. A&M got a 34 yard IR td to open the 3Q but UA drove 75/4pl for a td to get back within 4. They exchanged td’s at the end of the 3Q to make it 38-33. A&M punted on its next possession but then went 57/7pl for a 1 yard td run with 10:08 left, 45-33. UA went 67/10pl but was SOD on 4&10 at the A&M16. UA’s last drive ended on an interception at its 45 and A&M got 1 FD to the 29 and took a knee.
Southern Miss dropped its 16th straight game as Boise St was off a loss and just 2-2 on the season. The Golden Eagles made a game of it early as on their first drive they lined up for a 47 yard FG but it was blocked.. They got a 5 yard td pass with 12:25 left in the 2Q and only trailed 10-7. Down 17-7, a 38 yard FG was blocked and Boise St returned it 40 yards. The Broncos went 27/4pl for a td then forced a punt and went 80/6pl for a td to blow it open 30-7. They had a 318-216 yard edge at the half. Boise went 71/9pl for a td, 48/11pl for a 26 yard FG, 32/4pl for a td (after a 39 yard PR), and 40/8pl for a td on its first 4 possessions of the 2H to make it 54-7. SM fumbled a punt at its own 37 and the Broncos went 37/5pl for a td and it ended up 60-7. Boise finished with a commanding 545-266 yard edge.
California/Oregon was played in heavy rain and it was surprising that Oregon was held to just 381 yards of offense. The big news was De’Anthony Thomas getting injured so Byron Marshall rushed 19-130 and Thomas Tyner 13-94. While UO had just a 21-20 FD edge and 381-325 yard edge, the game was all Ducks. Cal kept turning it over in its own territory giving UO short fields so they didn’t have to gain a lot of yards. They went 58/6pl for a td, were SOD at the Cal23, after a fumble went 32/5pl for a td, and after a fumble 22/4pl for a 4&2 td pass, 20-0 (7:16 1Q). After a personal foul on the PR, they started at the Cal38 and 4pl later had another td, 27-0. The Bears went 67/8pl but on 2&6 from the 15 was intercepted in the endzone and then were SOD at the UO30 on the next drive. UO went 70/8pl for a td and 2 possessions later got a 75 yard PR td by Bralon Addison to blow it open 41-0. At the half they led 41-3 with a 291-175 yard edge. They opened the 3Q with an Addison 67 yard PR td and led 55-10 when Cal took over with 7:08 left and backup QB Zach Kline who came in with 2:01 left in the 1Q and played the rest of the game. They got a 7 yard garbage td pass with 3:02 left for the 55-16 final and to make the yards closer.
Six hours after the USC/Arizona St game was over the Trojans fired HC Lane Kiffin and Ed Orgeron will take over as the head man. He, of course, has HC experience with Ole Miss. Things did not look bad for USC. They took their opening drive of the 3Q 75/3pl and got a 24 yard td run to make it 21-20. The Sun Devils got a 74 yard td pass to retake the lead then a 46 yard IR td. After a USC punt, Arizona St went 55/6pl for a td and led 41-21. Making matters worse late in the game, Marqise Lee was injured on a PR with the Trojans down big. It was 48-34 when ASt went 65/5pl for a td then after USC went 3&out, ASt went 62/4pl for a 62-34 lead. USC got a 58 yard td run by Justin Davis with 2:24 left but ASt got 1 FD and ran the clock. Arizona St only had a 25-22 FD edge and a 612-542 yard edge but a 4-1 TO edge.
Re: College Betting Recap - Week 5
Top 25 Betting Recap - Week 5
By Mike Rose
Week 5 of the 2013 NCAA football betting season is in the books, and today, we're going to be taking a look at each of the Top 25 teams in the land and see how they did from an ATS perspective in this go around this past week.
(Results in parentheses represent SU Result-ATS Result)
1: Alabama (W-W vs. Ole Miss 25-0)
That's the closest thing to a complete game that Bama has posted to date.
2: Oregon (W-W vs. Cal 55-16)
Holding down Cal to 16 points was the impressive part of that victory.
3: Clemson (W-W vs. Wake Forest 56-7)
No slips yet for the Tigers, who look good to be unbeaten into the FSU game.
4: Ohio State (W-P vs. Wisconsin 31-24)
The Bucks had no business letting the Badgers hit the backdoor push on Saturday night.
5: Stanford (W-W vs. Washington State 55-17)
This was the first time all year that QB Kevin Hogan and the gang looked really dangerous on both sides of the ball.
6: LSU (L-P vs. Georgia 44-41)
QB Zach Mettenberger did his part. The defense failed miserably Between the Hedges, though.
7: Louisville (Bye)
Louisville is laying five TDs on the road in a conference game next week against Temple.
8: Florida State (W-L vs. Boston College 48-34)
Falling behind 17-3 was no big deal for QB Jameis Winston.
9: Georgia (W-P vs. LSU 44-41)
The 'W' probably gives the Dawgs a clear path to the National Championship Game if they win out.
10: Texas A&M (W-L vs. Arkansas 45-33)
Johnny Football did the job that he needed to do to get the win, but the Aggies still have some major problems on the defensive side of the ball.
11: Oklahoma State (L-L vs. West Virginia 30-21)
And that's why the Big XII stands no chance of competing for the National Championship this year.
12: South Carolina (W-L vs. UCF 28-25)
QB Connor Shaw separated his shoulder and will miss two weeks, but the Gamecocks rallied from a 10-0 halftime deficit in a hostile environment.
13: UCLA (Bye)
QB Brett Hundley was prepping for his mirror image, QB Travis Wilson and the Utes on Thursday.
14: Oklahoma (W-W vs. Notre Dame 35-21)
QB Blake Bell threw for 232 yards and two scores to help beat the Golden Domers in South Bend.
15: Miami (W-W vs. South Florida 49-21)
Like South Florida ever really had a chance...it was 49-7 at the end of three quarters.
16: Washington (W-W vs. Arizona 31-13)
Many expected more points, but the Huskies did the job on defense against Arizona.
17: Northwestern (Bye)
A bye week to prepare for Ohio State has the whole campus in Evanston buzzing.
18: Michigan (Bye)
Few teams needed a bye as badly as Michigan did.
19: Baylor (Bye)
Ho hum. 750 yards and 70 points per game through three games.
20: Florida (W-W vs. Kentucky 24-7)
QB Tyler Murphy wasn't fantastic, but he was good enough to get his first win as a starting quarterback.
21: Ole Miss (L-L vs. Alabama 25-0)
The offense turned the ball over twice via turnovers and three times on downs against the Tide.
22: Notre Dame (L-L vs. Oklahoma 35-21)
And we bid the national runners up last season adieu for the year. There's no way Notre Dame gets back in the BCS bowl picture now.
23: Wisconsin (L-P vs. Ohio State 31-24)
The Wiscy offense did some damage against the Buckeyes late, but this was a game that was never really all that close.
24: Texas Tech (Bye)
Do most even realize that Head Coach Kliff Kingsbury and the gang are 4-0?
25: Fresno State (W-L vs. Hawaii 42-37)
Fresno State was up 42-3 and needed to defend a Hail Mary just to stave off what would have been an absurd embarrassment on the island.